Writing » Topical Writing
A Milestone Passed: Brief Thoughts On AI’s Increasingly Convincing Simulation of Humanness

¡AI Caramba!: A Milestone Passed: Brief Thoughts On AI’s Increasingly Convincing Simulation of Humanness

Oct. 11, 2024

Those who've spoken to me about it know that I, through much firsthand experience, call myself "a huge AI enthusiast and skeptic". Generative AI is an amazing technology that has personally benefitted me in ways that were strictly science fiction just a few years ago—but, lot of unmerited claims are made, and a lot of trust put in it that isn't really justified by the technology.

But then there's yesterday's article in Ars Technica.

As a technologist, there are times I remember seeing news articles that seemed to me to really show we've passed a technological benchmark, just things I noticed were the first time I saw things take a new step. This article was that.

The background is this: Google has a new AI called NotebookLM that, when fed material, generates a simulated audio podcast of two very stereotypical podcasters discussing it. I…

Writing » Anecdotal Evidence (True Stories) » Essay-Length Memoirs
Forever In My Heart: Experiencing Jimi

A Memoir From The Road: Forever In My Heart: Experiencing Jimi

November 27, 2018

I'm staying at my dad's place in Florida right now. I've been on the road for a few months.

It struck me this morning, waking up in Dad's guest room, that this past August I let the 25th anniversary of the day I first quit th' job and hit th' road—August 12, 1993—slip by, unremarked upon.

I realized it today because today is the 25th anniversary of November 27 of that same year, nearly as important a day in my personal canon. I slept the night of November 26, 1993 in my car in a rest area outside of Tacoma, WA, as I'd been doing for the better part of a week, and after my customary free cup of morning coffee courtesy of the local VFW post volunteers at the rest area, I headed over to the Last Exit On Brooklyn cafe in Seattle's University District, as…

Workshop » Works In Progress » Writing Works in Progress

Laws Of The Land

This is my placeholder scratchpad for what will be my page of rules of thumb, natural laws, and other such handy guidelines.

1. Child rearing

Keep a parent's vigilant eye, and keep the kid away from high stuff and sharp stuff and hot stuff and anything with teeth and no training. You'll do fine.

2. Kupietz's Henriksen Conjecture

As described on my movie reviews page: Lance Henriksen will be the last to die in any horror movie he is in.

I'll be adding to this as I remember these, until it grows into an article.

Writing » Topical Writing » Mikesplaining (Answers to Infrequently Asked Questions)
Can the statement ‘I literally died laughing’ be true?

Infrequently Asked Questions: Can the statement ‘I literally died laughing’ be true?

"'Literally' is one of the most misused words in the English language. Literally means: exactly as stated. 'I literally rode a horse to get here.' means you saddled a horse and rode it to your destination in real life. 'I literally died laughing' is untrue, because you're still alive." —Siana W., via internet

That's not a question, but I'm going to do my best to answer it anyway.

You're a couple of years behind the times. Dictionaries reflect common language, not the other way around—that's how the meanings of words change over time.

Otherwise "nice" would still have its original English meaning of "foolish or ignorant" (from Latin "Nescire", to be ignorant, also the root of the current but uncommon English word nescience, "ignorance or unknowingness".)

You're in good company, though—Jane Austen mocked the widespread incorrect use of 'nice' to describe things as pleasant in "Northanger…

Writing » Topical Writing
Using Per-Website Emails & Passwords to Protect Against Data Breaches

Security Through Obscurity: Using Per-Website Emails & Passwords to Protect Against Data Breaches

I got into a conversation today with some web developers, talking about recent articles about a major password breach.

This got me to thinking—with some prompting from shadowy web standards advocate and staunch info-sharing supporter Tantek Çelik—that this would be useful to document.

Unique email addresses and passwords for every website

The basic idea is this: every single website signup gets a unique email address and unique password. This way, if a website is breached and the passwords are leaked, no other accounts are compromised, just that website's.

The trick is to do it in a way that I can remember, or easily derive the usernames and passwords per site, so I don't have to rely on a pain-in-the-posterior password manager, and can log in from anywhere easily.

Obviously I'm not going to give away details of how I specifically do things, but I can…

Workshop » Works In Progress » Writing Works in Progress

Go

Among my fascinations and frsutrations is go. This is going to be my page for organizing my thoughts on it as I learn.

I get the sense that Go is not a game but a field of study.

Workshop » Works In Progress » Writing Works in Progress

Vocabulary

[could probably have a whole website section on words & language]

This is a placeholder for a page suggested by captJamesG in the Indieweb writing group meeting at https://etherpad.indieweb.org/2025-02-04-writing : "Writing challenge for anyone interested: write about a word or words that you use but may not be widely known." Agita, vehagedah, sennsucht, and I'm sure I have a bunch of English ones

Writing » Topical Writing
How the Section 174 Tax Code Changes Caused a White-Collar Job Crash

Opinion: How the Section 174 Tax Code Changes Caused a White-Collar Job Crash

Note, Sep. 2024: I want to point something out: I’ve given few references here besides a couple of Google search results I happen to like. This page gives my current understanding. I’m still researching it, and you should research it yourself, don’t take my word as gospel truth. But this is how I understand it right now.

Googling section 174 layoffs will point you to a lot of information.

I’m also going to add some links at the bottom to interesting references to the issue, as I come across them. —Mike

IMPORTANT UPDATE, July 3, 2025: Pending signing of the new tax bill tomorrow, it appears the below information may finally be obsolete. The tax bill passed by Congress today quietly included a provision permanently repealing the below-discussed Section 174 changes. See https://abgi-usa.com/section174/latest-and-greatest

UPDATE 2, July 16, 2025: If…

Workshop » Works In Progress » Writing Works in Progress

Insert Clever phrase here: Artificial Stupidity thoughts & references

I write down a lot of thoughts on AI but have never gathered it into a cohesive essay or collection. This is the beginning of loosely collecting my thoughts and saved references for that.

  • On Emergence and actual intelligence: People are talking about current technology, which relies on matching statistical profiles of strings of words, like true intelligence could emerge from it.I look at it this way: AI video generation is getting really impressive. You could feed it tons of video of basketballs bouncing, and pretty soon it would be able to generate videos of basketballs bouncing realistically through all kinds of extraordinary scenarios, because it had seen enough visual, external data to create incredible simulations of how a basketball bounces. It would truly, profoundly have a grasp on how basketballs appear to bounce.And never, in any of that, would it have even a glimmer of a clue as…
Writing » I Can't Believe It's Not Poetry! » "Incidental Poetry" Performance

“I Realized Something Disturbing This Morning” by Allison Rossi—Incidental Poetry

Originally revealed at https://www.linkedin.com/posts/allisonmarierossi_allisonwith2ls-copycats-plagiarismgoals-activity-7276604068976816129-tV7b?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop:

Your browser does not support the video tag.

Writing » Anecdotal Evidence (True Stories) » Short Vignettes & Anecdotes
Timeslippin’ With Gene

Things That Make You Say "Hmmmmm": Timeslippin’ With Gene

This is a true thing that happened to me. And better, it happened to me and a friend together, so there's a corroborating witness.

Back in high school, me and my friends Chris, whom I call Gene, and Scharf made plans to hang out at Gene's house after school. Gene and I both had 9th period free, so we met at the beginning of 9th period in the SWAS room. Scharf had said he'd meet us there at the end of 9th period, the last period of the day.

I was in an alternative education program, School Within A School, in high school. It was in a big room with couches instead of desks, no grades, etc., it's a whole other story. But SWAS met for the first few periods of the day, and after that, the SWAS room, full of couches, was a…

Writing » Anecdotal Evidence (True Stories) » Short Vignettes & Anecdotes
These Are The People In My Neighborhood

These Are The People In My Neighborhood

Some assorted reminscences of characters I occasionally run across in my day.

Workshop » Works In Progress » Writing Works in Progress » The Five-Ingredient Cookbook
I AM DA CHEF OF DA FUTURE

Dinner For Schmucks: The Five Ingredient Cookbook — Kitchen Survival for Schmoes

Mostly sticking this placeholder into the "works in progress" section to remind me to pull all my recipies together and work on my cookbook.

At a certain point in my bachelorhood, I realized I was subsisting, in my home-cooked meals, on almost the same 5 ingredients. Tough to recall at this late date what those ingredients were... I think there was tuna fish in there, mayonnaise, ramen, I can't remember the other two. I had this idea at the time that it would be fun to put together a bachelor's cookbook of all the different things I made out of those few ingredients.

Over time my culinary palette grew, horizontally if not in terms of sophistication, but the idea never left me. Now there's an air fryer on my counter (or, as I call it, the "meat microwave"), probably more than 5 things I use regularly on my spice shelf…

Writing » Topical Writing » Reviews & Criticism
Music Reviews

You Are Hear: Music Reviews

As of this writing (March 2024) this is pretty sparse, I only just had the idea. Generally I've never written much about music—I don't need to, because music is just one of those things I retain like a steel trap; it's all carved in stone upstairs, so I don't have to spend time putting it down on paper.

But, I was thinking, I do like a lot of obscure and unjustly overlooked albums, as well as having some unpopular (and therefore inescapably superior) opinions on popular music, so I thought it would be fun to make a list. This will certainly grow over time.

Writing » Topical Writing » Mikesplaining (Answers to Infrequently Asked Questions)
What’s the best day of the week to take off if you work a four day, 10-hours-a-day work week?

Infrequently Asked Questions: What’s the best day of the week to take off if you work a four day, 10-hours-a-day work week?

What’s the best day of the week to take off if you work a four day, 10-hours-a-day work week? -Jeannie F, Marin County, CA

Thursday. Trust me, being self-employed I’ve done a lot of experimenting.

The ideal 3-day workweek is easy: that’s MWTh — Monday, Wednesday, Thursday. It makes Monday easier, because you know you have the next day off. You arrive Wednesday feeling like it’s Monday, except tomorrow is Thursday, which is Friday for you! Then, every week, you get a three day weekend to cap it off! It’s ideal, and I recommend the MWTh work schedule for everybody.

Working a 4-day workweek, especially 4 10-hour days, is more complicated. The entire dynamic changes. The ideal 4-day workweek is MTWF. The best day to take off is Thursday.

You have to think in terms of psychology: three 10 hour workdays in a row is easy to handle, it just…

Writing » Topical Writing » Mikesplaining (Answers to Infrequently Asked Questions)
Why do people respect George Carlin?

Infrequently Asked Questions: Why do people respect George Carlin?

I have a serious question, and, dead serious, I’m not deliberately trying to provoke. 
Why do people respect George Carlin? -Brett F., Alberta

Carlin was the observational comic who set the mold for so many of today’s comics. Like this: “Honesty may be the best policy, but it’s important to remember that apparently, by elimination, dishonesty is the second-best policy. ” or “In America, anyone can become president. That’s the problem.” Not the absolutely most brilliant observations ever, nor the funniest. But enough of each for people to really appreciate it. His funny cynical twist was pretty ingenious at times.

“Don Ho can sign autographs 3.4 times faster than Efrem Zimbalist Jr.” In a post-Seinfeld world, this kind of off-kilter observation, which you have to think about for a second to get, doesn’t seem as hilarious as it did when nobody had heard anything like it before. And he summed…

Writing » Topical Writing » Mikesplaining (Answers to Infrequently Asked Questions)
Why are musical notes an octave apart considered to be the same note?

Infrequently Asked Questions: Why are musical notes an octave apart considered to be the same note?

Q. Why are musical notes an octave apart considered to be the same note? -Charlotte V., Seattle, WA

Notes an octave apart are the same note because of the mechanics of vibration. Consider a piano string that is hit by a hammer and vibrates 1000 vibrations per second. So in 1/1000th of a second, it does this: Starts at center, then is hit by hammer. Snaps upwards. Hits the upper limit of its vibration, when the tension pulls it back towards the center. Crosses the center but keeps moving because of the momentum. Hits the downward limit of its vibration. Snaps back towards the center. Crosses the center on its way upward again, completing one cycle.

The precise timing of this motion is:
0 Seconds - position center - hit by hammer
1/4000 of a second: hits upper limit of motion
2/4000 of a second: crosses center…

Writing » Topical Writing » Mikesplaining (Answers to Infrequently Asked Questions)
Do the odds of winning the lottery change if more people play? Is flipping tails more likely after four heads in a row?

Infrequently Asked Questions: Do the odds of winning the lottery change if more people play? Is flipping tails more likely after four heads in a row?

A.) Do the odds of winning the lottery change if more people play?

B.) What if 5 people each flipped a coin. If the first four all land on heads, the odds of the fifth coming up heads also is much lower, isn't it?

Answers:

A.) Do the odds of winning the lottery change if more people play?

OK. For starters, let's call the lottery what it is: it's a gamble.

For purposes of illustration, we'll consider another gamble: a coin toss.

Before we look at the question of more people betting changing the odds of winning, think about this: if you flip a coin a certain number of times, there's only a certain number of possible outcomes. For instance, if you have three flips, they can come out 8 different ways:

1.) Heads, Heads, Heads
2.) Heads, Heads, Tails
3.) Heads,…

Writing » Anecdotal Evidence (True Stories) » Local Color: True Stories From Near And Far
How to Find Your Hotel If You’re Lost In Ghent

Local Color—Ghent, Belgium: How to Find Your Hotel If You’re Lost In Ghent

Back in my salad days I once tricked the Belgian government into paying to fly me & two friends to give an arts lecture in Ghent under assumed names (long story, now recounted elsewhere on this site).

The Kunstencentrum Vooruit (Vooruit Arts Center), where we delivered our address, was an elegant old 1910 festival hall in Ghent, with galleries and lecture halls above and a bar in the basement, and which had once been used by the Nazis during the occupation.

The folks from Vooruit put us up in a 300-year-old hotel where hotel owners' incredibly classy cafe on the first floor kept us both caffeinated and entertained, with live a cappella opera singers, and the hotel part was reached by going through a door in the back of a closet.

Just a block or two from the hotel was a row of several…

Writing » Topical Writing » Reviews & Criticism
“Peaks Island Ferry” by Dan Sonenberg — album review

I Like To Listen: “Peaks Island Ferry” by Dan Sonenberg — album review

Finally giving a listen to the prerelease of old friend Dan Sonenberg’s return to solo singer-songwriting, "Peaks Island Ferry". Rather than set down & give him feedback after it’s over, I’m gonna liveblog it here.

(For those who wade through all the below and/or are curious to hear the album, it's at https://dansonenberg.bandcamp.com/releases.)

Track 1: "Turn it over" Given that the baseline quality of even the bottom rung of Dan’s songs is somewhere north of "totally listenable", I’d say this is middle of the road for him, a solid B or B+. Not particularly adventurous in terms of songwriting, and slightly familiar to anyone who knows his influences, but literate and full of enough unique and vivid imagery to stand out from the pack. It also continues Dan's lifelong trajectory of finding ways to sneak weirder and weirder musical flourishes into conventional-on-the-surface songs in ways that…

Writing » Topical Writing
About Sexism In The AI Images On This Site

Hey, You Got Your Social Awareness In My AI!: About Sexism In The AI Images On This Site

A number of the AI-generated images on this site contain artistic depictions of nudity, presented in a way that might seem to reasonably suggest some confusion between real artistic or aesthetic value, and what gives some people, perhaps including myself, some level of simple va-va-va-voom visual jollies.

Put simply: there's a lot of images of naked, topless, or scantily-dressed women in some of the image galleries here, but not so many men. Almost none, in fact.

Although it's in several galleries, this is most evident in, say, "Previsions of Johanna", where the many female figures, and only the female figures, all came out either nude, topless, or wearing a low-cut dress, while the male figures are always fully clothed from neck to wrists and ankles. In fact, the lone arguably male figure in that entire set that is wearing a loose tank top, rather than some kind…

Writing » Topical Writing
Critical Reading of a Flawed Information Source

Watch Your Intelligence: Critical Reading of a Flawed Information Source

Oct. 7, 2023

I had an interesting talk with my father yesterday. He had a 2-for-1 subscription offer to Mother Jones, and we got into a discussion when I told him I didn't like that magazine. Since then, I've been doing some thinking about how I pick my news sources, something I do very carefully, but have never thought about trying to explain. What I told him was, essentially, that Mother Jones is too biased, I don't feel like I can trust them to give the sides of a story that may not agree with their basic worldview, and I wind up feeling like have to do my own research into anything they say to verify I'm getting something like an accurate picture, and it takes a lot of time that I could be spending just reading better commentary.

Unlike a lot of people, I'm not terribly partisan about my…

Writing » I Can't Believe It's Not Poetry!
Ode to “Ode To A Croaking Man”

I Can’t Believe It’s Not Meta-Poetry!: Ode to “Ode To A Croaking Man”

O! Poem that spoke of a man who croaks,
were you not my own, I would quote you!
I would think that whomever composed you smokes dope,
but I know it ain't so, 'cause I wrote you.

Which poet is it, that constructed you, Ode?
'Twas myself! Though I scant deserve credit.
For a poem's not a poem 'less it stands on its o'en
through my 50 neurotic edits.

And forget let us not, the post-poem note!
Doleful lament upon poem just wrote,
pensively telling of muse that had flo'en.
Though reader, perhaps, was just glad poem was do'en.

NOTE:
The poet wishes it to be kno'en:
It's not his intent to promote or condo'en
the writing of poems about one's other poems.
Do as I say, not as I've do'en.
Misinformation Visualization

The Infinity Razor

Draft - never published

This is an old favorite of mine that I'm glad to see survives in some form on the web. Close to 20 years ago, The Economist ran an article where they noted an interesting trend: https://web.archive.org/web/20181120231744/https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2006/03/16/the-cutting-edge

They noted that in it was over 70 years after King Gillette invented the disposable safety razor before marketing geniuses invented the Trac II, with two blades. Only slightly more than 20 years later, the triple-blade Mach3 debuted, followed shortly by the four-blade Quattro and even sooner by the 5-blade Fusion.

Where their analysis departs from the more pedestrian studies of the subject is the rigor with which they analyzed the trend. By two different curve-fitting methodologies, they found that at the very least, by a simple power law curve, by 2100 we'll be shaving with 14-blade razors. However, by the best curve-fitting, the data appears to…

Misinformation Visualization

More than Coincidence? The Bushes, the CIA, an inexplicable disease cluster, and a TV show

Draft - never published

Over the course of the persidency of George H. W. Bush, both he and first lady Barbara Bush developed Graves' disease, a form of lupus. Doctors estimated the odds of a husband and wife both developing this uncommon and noncommunicable disease at around 1 in 3,000,000. https://web.archive.org/web/20130508015248/http://www.nytimes.com/1991/05/28/science/the-doctor-s-world-a-white-house-puzzle-immunity-ailments.html

In 1990, the Bushes' dog, Millie, was diagnosed with lupus: https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1990-09-06-mn-1274-story.html

Preceding that, in 1966, Bush left private business and was elected to his first Federal position in the House of Representatives, then subsequently the Senate. In the early seventies, President Richard Nixon had appointed Bush to chair the Republican Party. From there Bush briefly served as a liaison and effective embassador to China, before being appointed by Gerald Ford as director of the the Central Intelligence agency.

The CIA is a spy agency.

In 1966, the same year Bush began his government…

Misinformation Visualization

Online Petition Gets Murder Conviction Overturned

Originally posted on Misinformationvisualization.com on 12/9/2013.

According to Change.org’s current homepage:

Family wins release of son from prison! Ryan Ferguson’s family fought for his release from prison for a murder they say he didn’t commit. Ryan’s father, Bill, started a petition asking for Ryan to be freed, and after 250,000 signatures, Ryan’s conviction was overturned.”

Ferguson was convicted in 2005. His father started an online petition on change.org to get him a new trial. in 2013, after 250,000 signatures, the two main witnesses against him recanted their testimony under oath, and his conviction was overturned!

It would be interesting if we could test and determine exactly how many petition signatures is the critical number necessary to get a murder conviction overturned, and whether the petition caused the witnesses to recant, or whether the petition alone would have been sufficient to get the conviction reversed even…

Misinformation Visualization

How To Pick A Better Password

Originally posted on Misinformationvisualization.com on 12/2/2013

Buried in this interesting article about password security from the BBC is the tidbit that studies have found that red-haired women tend to pick the most secure passwords; “men with bushy beards or unkempt hair, the worst.”

So for maximum security, always ask a red-haired woman to pick new account passwords for you.

Misinformation Visualization

Election ’12 fact-finding: Has Obama Increased or Decreased Shark Attacks in the US?

Originally published on MisinformationVisualization.com on Aug 18, 2012

Here’s something Romney’s attack ads refuse to discuss. According to figures from the nonpartisan American Elasmobranch Society and the Florida Museum of Natural History, under the policies of George W. Bush, the US had an average of 65% of the world’s shark attacks, dipping below 60% only in 2004, when John Kerry was running. For the first three years of Barack Obama’s presidency, the US average dropped to only 43% of the world’s shark attacks. (Paul Ryan has a plan to end shark attacks by chumming the swimming waters with meat and fresh blood, but Romney has been distancing himself from it.)

Please come back, as we will be exploring this data in greater detail in upcoming posts.

Writing » Topical Writing

Health & Lifestyle: How I Deal With Insomnia

I'm going to flesh this out at some point, but it was lost in a pile of old notes and I wanted it up on the site as a reminder, because it's a conversation I've had a number of times in my life.

I've always been an insomniac. When I was younger, I'd often get to bed at a reasonable hour, only to very frequently wake up three hours later and not be able to get back to sleep. In college I'd often get up in the not-so-small hours and go for walks in the woods and watch the sun come up, then grab a few more hours of sleep.

As an adult, it's been more an issue of never getting to sleep... the brain just never slows down, and suddenly, the sun is up. (See "Day Nights".) The problem then becomes, either I sleep through the…